Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 11.335516 12.679340 14.132188 15.821787 17.735422 19.838634 22.329544
2025-05-18 8.988560 10.776410 12.860813 15.479548 18.694438 22.528536 27.471601
2025-05-25 7.443688 9.438098 11.910231 15.219837 19.564919 25.116478 32.812979
2025-06-01 6.387302 8.485354 11.222865 15.090295 20.467768 27.760127 38.533941
2025-06-08 5.620415 7.771160 10.704184 15.046158 21.395210 30.471380 44.666173
2025-06-15 5.173269 7.415644 10.598487 15.515841 23.047390 34.354319 53.007863
2025-06-22 4.652116 6.879771 10.153406 15.403301 23.778999 36.911369 59.637113
2025-06-29 4.160255 6.324683 9.605067 15.044345 24.046856 38.728852 65.270999
2025-07-06 3.780428 5.895792 9.194796 14.837811 24.504777 40.867152 71.701975
2025-07-13 3.593602 5.748478 9.206313 15.308513 26.131677 45.155116 82.561101
2025-07-20 3.428360 5.616582 9.223619 15.780290 27.801206 49.708281 94.590703
2025-07-27 3.227451 5.403624 9.079980 15.946682 28.926826 53.389895 105.471157
2025-08-03 2.960902 5.060106 8.689812 15.646775 29.187371 55.543479 113.778617
2025-08-10 2.730318 4.759518 8.348093 15.401384 29.527427 57.909471 122.970193
2025-08-17 2.527855 4.490952 8.038372 15.181633 29.888774 60.364044 132.782831
2025-08-24 2.360490 4.271446 7.797842 15.068561 30.449313 63.304034 144.213873
2025-08-31 2.219016 4.087575 7.606642 15.031267 31.159760 66.657399 157.219620
2025-09-07 2.149361 4.034306 7.661431 15.503392 33.027098 72.851382 178.398838
2025-09-14 2.021300 3.855686 7.451576 15.392185 33.577843 76.079440 192.560138
2025-09-21 1.879388 3.637749 7.143041 15.034021 33.516387 77.835067 203.109595
2025-09-28 1.765129 3.466360 6.914779 14.827852 33.782327 80.419050 216.421521
2025-10-05 1.722356 3.438393 6.983462 15.298299 35.734123 87.530415 244.139092
2025-10-12 1.681459 3.410762 7.049859 15.769770 37.749177 95.112752 274.890522